Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 5:59 PM, 408 voters in 45 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 276,776 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 255,859 - 288,996). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: The above mail counts are copied from the state data. There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in that data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 5:59 PM 4036 c(2.5% = 3791) c(97.5% = 4348)
02 5:59 PM 6351 c(2.5% = 5913) c(97.5% = 7121)
03 5:59 PM 3552 c(2.5% = 3185) c(97.5% = 3811)
04 5:59 PM 3537 c(2.5% = 3112) c(97.5% = 3776)
05 5:59 PM 9097 c(2.5% = 8530) c(97.5% = 10101)
06 5:59 PM 2363 c(2.5% = 2098) c(97.5% = 2538)
07 5:59 PM 2426 c(2.5% = 1687) c(97.5% = 2706)
08 5:59 PM 8418 c(2.5% = 8127) c(97.5% = 9145)
09 5:59 PM 3903 c(2.5% = 3667) c(97.5% = 4641)
10 5:59 PM 5073 c(2.5% = 4450) c(97.5% = 5607)
11 5:59 PM 2253 c(2.5% = 1962) c(97.5% = 2437)
12 5:59 PM 3847 c(2.5% = 3379) c(97.5% = 4119)
13 5:59 PM 3478 c(2.5% = 3045) c(97.5% = 3715)
14 5:59 PM 1516 c(2.5% = 1362) c(97.5% = 1637)
15 5:59 PM 4219 c(2.5% = 3974) c(97.5% = 4700)
16 5:59 PM 1898 c(2.5% = 1615) c(97.5% = 2061)
17 5:59 PM 4280 c(2.5% = 3790) c(97.5% = 4581)
18 5:59 PM 4013 c(2.5% = 3752) c(97.5% = 4291)
19 5:59 PM 1914 c(2.5% = 1438) c(97.5% = 2087)
20 5:59 PM 1755 c(2.5% = 1476) c(97.5% = 1892)
21 5:59 PM 10010 c(2.5% = 9552) c(97.5% = 10809)
22 5:59 PM 5336 c(2.5% = 4865) c(97.5% = 6340)
23 5:59 PM 3329 c(2.5% = 2937) c(97.5% = 3520)
24 5:59 PM 2721 c(2.5% = 2473) c(97.5% = 2935)
25 5:59 PM 2738 c(2.5% = 2250) c(97.5% = 3045)
26 5:59 PM 3889 c(2.5% = 3500) c(97.5% = 4228)
27 5:59 PM 4699 c(2.5% = 3795) c(97.5% = 6390)
28 5:59 PM 2016 c(2.5% = 1724) c(97.5% = 2197)
29 5:59 PM 1998 c(2.5% = 1817) c(97.5% = 2122)
30 5:59 PM 3749 c(2.5% = 3606) c(97.5% = 4167)
31 5:59 PM 3400 c(2.5% = 3159) c(97.5% = 3726)
32 5:59 PM 3336 c(2.5% = 2865) c(97.5% = 3538)
33 5:59 PM 2837 c(2.5% = 2087) c(97.5% = 3170)
34 5:59 PM 7267 c(2.5% = 6519) c(97.5% = 7767)
35 5:59 PM 5013 c(2.5% = 4417) c(97.5% = 5367)
36 5:59 PM 6053 c(2.5% = 5537) c(97.5% = 6448)
37 5:59 PM 2233 c(2.5% = 1877) c(97.5% = 2368)
38 5:59 PM 3648 c(2.5% = 3384) c(97.5% = 3850)
39 5:59 PM 7649 c(2.5% = 7082) c(97.5% = 8178)
40 5:59 PM 7676 c(2.5% = 6845) c(97.5% = 7971)
41 5:59 PM 3113 c(2.5% = 2590) c(97.5% = 3386)
42 5:59 PM 3919 c(2.5% = 3250) c(97.5% = 4198)
43 5:59 PM 3037 c(2.5% = 2405) c(97.5% = 3257)
44 5:59 PM 2381 c(2.5% = 2106) c(97.5% = 2537)
45 5:59 PM 3449 c(2.5% = 2948) c(97.5% = 3789)
46 5:59 PM 4171 c(2.5% = 3949) c(97.5% = 4886)
47 5:59 PM 1466 c(2.5% = 1311) c(97.5% = 1523)
48 5:59 PM 3389 c(2.5% = 3089) c(97.5% = 3567)
49 5:59 PM 4302 c(2.5% = 3821) c(97.5% = 4494)
50 5:59 PM 5909 c(2.5% = 5305) c(97.5% = 6976)
51 5:59 PM 3821 c(2.5% = 3347) c(97.5% = 4100)
52 5:59 PM 4713 c(2.5% = 4268) c(97.5% = 5304)
53 5:59 PM 3426 c(2.5% = 2896) c(97.5% = 3690)
54 5:59 PM 2507 c(2.5% = 1951) c(97.5% = 2810)
55 5:59 PM 4082 c(2.5% = 3414) c(97.5% = 4492)
56 5:59 PM 5882 c(2.5% = 5122) c(97.5% = 6367)
57 5:59 PM 5020 c(2.5% = 4508) c(97.5% = 5388)
58 5:59 PM 8547 c(2.5% = 7557) c(97.5% = 9260)
59 5:59 PM 4123 c(2.5% = 3690) c(97.5% = 4417)
60 5:59 PM 3360 c(2.5% = 3053) c(97.5% = 3562)
61 5:59 PM 5012 c(2.5% = 4421) c(97.5% = 5204)
62 5:59 PM 3732 c(2.5% = 3013) c(97.5% = 4073)
63 5:59 PM 4739 c(2.5% = 4337) c(97.5% = 5045)
64 5:59 PM 2728 c(2.5% = 2320) c(97.5% = 2965)
65 5:59 PM 4129 c(2.5% = 3601) c(97.5% = 4432)
66 5:59 PM 8293 c(2.5% = 7454) c(97.5% = 8897)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22
8:00 AM 4618 32
12:50 PM 0525 121
12:02 PM 0831 123
12:30 PM 3007 161
12:30 PM 5217 120
12:55 PM 4002 146
7:25 AM 0532 35
12:40 PM 0529 58
1:04 PM 1902 128
1:05 PM 1903 72
1:05 PM 1904 81
1:02 PM 2702 100
1:12 PM 0834 113
8:20 AM 0810 66
12:29 PM 3113 151
1:00 PM 3609 112
7:01 AM 2122 20
1:20 PM 1514 117
1:25 PM 3006 141
1:30 PM 3914 175
1:29 PM 4320 120
1:30 PM 0517 194
11:10 AM 3105 1
1:30 PM 2701 119
7:45 AM 4616 34
9:15 AM 4125 74
1:43 PM 1717 115
1:43 PM 0537 130
1:45 PM 0817 166
8:30 AM 2605 76
1:43 PM 0501 133
1:45 PM 0818 88
1:43 PM 1717 115
10:40 AM 1510 121
1:45 PM 1810 188
1:48 PM 3943 160
1:51 PM 3637 170
1:52 PM 3638 137
1:45 PM 1817 238
2:00 PM 3103 194
9:00 AM 2719 1
2:05 PM 4701 166
1:45 PM 2911 109
8:00 AM 0510 63
10:30 AM 3942 90
8:00 AM 4616 49
2:25 PM 6414 114
2:27 PM 0834 124
2:28 PM 1810 216
2:28 PM 1503 202
2:30 PM 1802 139
2:30 PM 2706 220
2:30 PM 1801 204
11:00 AM 0914 46
2:36 PM 1514 125
2:15 PM 3909 158
2:37 PM 4616 153
1:50 PM 3002 131
7:05 AM 2622 6
2:47 PM 2133 268
8:02 AM 0815 48
11:45 AM 1817 193
12:35 PM 3634 92
7:40 AM 3602 16
2:59 PM 0532 215
2:59 PM 0517 210
9:30 AM 1508 100
2:00 PM 0813 128
3:10 PM 0537 135
3:10 PM 0501 140
3:11 PM 0505 173
2:00 PM 2314 177
3:11 PM 0505 173
2:50 PM 4617 154
10:00 AM 0537 50
3:20 PM 6008 102
10:10 AM 4623 72
3:20 PM 6012 143
8:00 AM 3636 75
3:21 PM 6023 141
8:15 AM 6324 27
3:22 PM 6002 164
3:22 PM 1509 154
3:23 PM 6001 98
3:06 PM 0831 156
3:28 PM 3943 179
8:22 AM 3104 82
8:47 AM 4042 73
3:35 PM 3637 190
3:35 PM 3637 160
3:00 PM 0213 65
3:34 PM 3111 202
10:45 AM 0807 115
3:54 PM 0525 148
10:45 AM 0807 115
8:00 AM 4616 53
4:00 PM 3714 215
3:57 PM 4618 86
3:58 PM 4608 130
4:00 PM 4701 192
9:14 AM 0912 90
4:05 PM 0818 102
4:05 PM 0817 187
2:00 PM 0101 149
4:11 PM 3914 207
2:00 PM 0102 160
2:00 PM 0103 188
4:00 PM 6507 460
4:20 PM 1716 103
11:00 AM 3006 125
4:00 PM 3935 208
7:15 AM 2714 100
4:00 PM 3925 215
3:45 PM 5823 393
4:25 PM 3943 196
4:15 PM 1816 264
4:15 PM 1817 292
4:27 PM 2714 126
4:27 PM 2723 153
4:15 PM 0525 151
4:30 PM 0834 133
8:00 AM 4202 41
4:30 PM 5224 177
4:38 PM 2209 144
4:39 PM 2214 178
4:47 PM 4702 116
4:45 PM 4701 198
1:30 PM 5622 138
4:32 PM 0526 238
12:30 PM 2408 128
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 0807 115
4:56 PM 2911 133
5:00 PM 1805 249
5:00 PM 3434 151
5:00 PM 1806 233
5:00 PM 1812 237
5:00 PM 1819 203
5:10 PM 5510 206
5:00 PM 1912 171
5:11 PM 1810 259
5:12 PM 3940 144
5:12 PM 3940 144
5:15 PM 5636 122
7:01 AM 0203 51
5:00 PM 2408 200
5:17 PM 5510 197
7:45 AM 0216 35
5:20 PM 3003 129
2:36 PM 4813 148
5:27 PM 4701 202
11:30 AM 0833 124
5:15 PM 1518 178
5:31 PM 6008 121
5:32 PM 6012 163
5:30 PM 3103 225
5:29 PM 2133 330
5:33 PM 6023 158
5:33 PM 4408 103
5:33 PM 3637 211
5:30 PM 3113 169
5:30 PM 3113 169
5:34 PM 6001 117
5:34 PM 3638 179
5:35 PM 6002 195
5:00 PM 0831 177
10:30 AM 5027 93
5:25 PM 2217 125
5:48 PM 1717 150
5:15 PM 5636 122
7:30 AM 0118 19
5:54 PM 0120 199
4:17 PM 4008 139
5:59 PM 0537 163
5:59 PM 0501 155

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions